An opinion poll survey conducted by India Today group in association with ORG, has predicted that BJP would get 40 seats in the 70-member Delhi Assembly in the December 4 election. The survey predicts a massive defeat for the ruling Congress which would be confined to mere 18 seats, incurring a loss of 25 seats this time. Aam Aadami Party may get 10 seats.
However, another poll survey conducted by ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen predicts that BJP would emerge as the single largest party in the State Assembly.
This survey gives 25 seats to the ruling Congress, while AAP is predicted to get 10 seats.
The most interesting aspect of the ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen survey is the neck and neck contest among BJP, Congress and AAP in 15 to 20 constituencies of Delhi. The survey says that by the time of voting, which is due on December 4, if the BJP gets a two per cent additional swing in these constituencies, it will win 40 seats, getting a clear majority.
On the contrary, if the Congress gets the two per cent edge on these seats, it will still fall short of majority as it will get mere 34 seats.
The survey tells that the main Opposition Party BJP’s Chief Ministerial candidate Harsh Vardhan is ahead of all other prominent contenders for the top job.
Thirty four percent people chose to go for Harsh Vardhan, 33 per cent for AAP’s Arvind Kejriwal. Present Chief Minister Sheila Dikshit was backed by just 26 per cent people.
Replying to questions asked during the opinion poll, 56 per cent people said that BJP’s decision to appoint Harsh Vardhan as its Chief Ministerial candidate gives an edge to the main Opposition party over its rivals.
As far as the prominent poll issues are concerned, 74 per cent people consider the inflation as the top election issue in Delhi. Seven per cent people consider sewer, 4 per cent consider water and 5 per cent choose electricity as the main poll issue.
Political analysts say that Narendra Modi factor is greatly working in favour of the BJP in the national capital.
Source: NitiCentral.com
![]() |
According to the opinion poll, the main Opposition BJP is predicted to get 37 per cent of the vote share whereas, the Congress is likely to get the support of mere 29 per cent electorate. The new entrant Aam Aadami Party is predicted to get 21 per cent vote in December 4 election. |
However, another poll survey conducted by ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen predicts that BJP would emerge as the single largest party in the State Assembly.
This survey gives 25 seats to the ruling Congress, while AAP is predicted to get 10 seats.
The most interesting aspect of the ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen survey is the neck and neck contest among BJP, Congress and AAP in 15 to 20 constituencies of Delhi. The survey says that by the time of voting, which is due on December 4, if the BJP gets a two per cent additional swing in these constituencies, it will win 40 seats, getting a clear majority.
On the contrary, if the Congress gets the two per cent edge on these seats, it will still fall short of majority as it will get mere 34 seats.
The survey tells that the main Opposition Party BJP’s Chief Ministerial candidate Harsh Vardhan is ahead of all other prominent contenders for the top job.
Thirty four percent people chose to go for Harsh Vardhan, 33 per cent for AAP’s Arvind Kejriwal. Present Chief Minister Sheila Dikshit was backed by just 26 per cent people.
Replying to questions asked during the opinion poll, 56 per cent people said that BJP’s decision to appoint Harsh Vardhan as its Chief Ministerial candidate gives an edge to the main Opposition party over its rivals.
As far as the prominent poll issues are concerned, 74 per cent people consider the inflation as the top election issue in Delhi. Seven per cent people consider sewer, 4 per cent consider water and 5 per cent choose electricity as the main poll issue.
Political analysts say that Narendra Modi factor is greatly working in favour of the BJP in the national capital.
India Today-ORG Opinion Poll | |
BJP |
40
|
Congress |
18
|
AAP |
10
|
Others |
2
|
ABP News-Nielsen Opinion Poll | |
BJP |
32
|
Congress |
25
|
AAP |
10
|
Others |
3
|
Source: NitiCentral.com