New Delhi: In what may be a comforting development for the principal opposition party, BJP, a new poll survey has suggested that it will emerge as the single largest party in 2014 Lok Sabha election by winning close to 162 seats.
The survey has also predicted grim prospects for the ruling Congress party, saying it would be able to win only 102 Lok Sabha seats, reports said on Thursday.
The survey, however, claims that even after emerging as the single largest party, the alliance led by the BJP will be well short of a majority, leaving several regional players holding the key to power in New Delhi.
As per the Times Now-CVoter survey, the BJP-led NDA is projected to get 186 and the UPA led by Congress is expected to win around 117 seats, which would mean 240 crucial seats with go to others.
The survey also predicts that Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress, the Left Front, Mulayam Singh Yadav's Samajwadi Party and Mayawati's BSP will emerge as the most important players after the 2014 polls.
The outcome of the 2014 elections will make government formation an extremely complicated exercise, giving the regional satraps more bargaining power.
The survey found that reaching the majority mark of 272 in the 543-member Lok Sabha will be a far cry for any pre-election formation.
Among the "others", the Left Front is projected to get the largest number, 32 seats, followed by BSP with 31 and AIADMK with 28 seats. The SP and Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress are expected to bag 25 and 23 seats respectively.
The survey also highlights that the Janta Dal (U) is likely to suffer major drubbing following its slit with BJP and its seats tally will expectedly come down to 9 from 20 in 2009.
The survey predicts a hung Parliament in 2014 with nobody really in a clear position to form a government if current voter pattern continues ill the actual voting.
The ruling Congress is likely to suffer major losses in those state that helped it propel the UPA to power in 2009. More importantly, the electoral gains in Karnataka will be too short to make up for the loss elsewhere, the survey says.
The BJP, on the other hand, will make significant gains in Rajasthan and relatively smaller gains in several other states; this is unlikely to be enough to put it in prime position for power.
The poll indicates Congress suffering the worst setback in Andhra Pradesh, going from 33 seats to just seven, while Jagan Reddy's YSR Congress and Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS) are predicted to get 13 seats each. Among other states where Congress is expected to suffer losses are Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and Kerala.
In Rajasthan, the survey showed Congress winning just five seats, a loss of 15 seats, all of them picked up by the BJP. Similarly, in UP too, the Congress' tally will come down from 21 as it will lose 16 seats and the same would be bagged by Samajwadi Party (SP) and Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP).
The survey also indicated that Delhi would go to the BJP which would bag six of the seven seats. In Maharashtra, the survey showed the Congress losing six from its 2009 tally of 17 seats and NCP losing two, while BJP and the Shiv Sena are expected to pick up four and three seats each over their 2009 tally, bringing their tally to 13 and 14 seats respectively of the state's 48 seats.
In West Bengal, Trinamool will gain four seats in 2014 taking its tally to 23 and the Left will just pick up one more totalling 16 seats. The Congress would be a major loser here, losing three of its six seats in West Bengal.
In Tamil Nadu, the DMK's tally is expected to come down to just five seats from 18 in 2009, while AIADMK's will go up from nine to 28 seats.
Source: ZeeNews
The survey has also predicted grim prospects for the ruling Congress party, saying it would be able to win only 102 Lok Sabha seats, reports said on Thursday.
The survey, however, claims that even after emerging as the single largest party, the alliance led by the BJP will be well short of a majority, leaving several regional players holding the key to power in New Delhi.
As per the Times Now-CVoter survey, the BJP-led NDA is projected to get 186 and the UPA led by Congress is expected to win around 117 seats, which would mean 240 crucial seats with go to others.
The survey also predicts that Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress, the Left Front, Mulayam Singh Yadav's Samajwadi Party and Mayawati's BSP will emerge as the most important players after the 2014 polls.
The outcome of the 2014 elections will make government formation an extremely complicated exercise, giving the regional satraps more bargaining power.
The survey found that reaching the majority mark of 272 in the 543-member Lok Sabha will be a far cry for any pre-election formation.
Among the "others", the Left Front is projected to get the largest number, 32 seats, followed by BSP with 31 and AIADMK with 28 seats. The SP and Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress are expected to bag 25 and 23 seats respectively.
The survey also highlights that the Janta Dal (U) is likely to suffer major drubbing following its slit with BJP and its seats tally will expectedly come down to 9 from 20 in 2009.
The survey predicts a hung Parliament in 2014 with nobody really in a clear position to form a government if current voter pattern continues ill the actual voting.
The ruling Congress is likely to suffer major losses in those state that helped it propel the UPA to power in 2009. More importantly, the electoral gains in Karnataka will be too short to make up for the loss elsewhere, the survey says.
The BJP, on the other hand, will make significant gains in Rajasthan and relatively smaller gains in several other states; this is unlikely to be enough to put it in prime position for power.
The poll indicates Congress suffering the worst setback in Andhra Pradesh, going from 33 seats to just seven, while Jagan Reddy's YSR Congress and Telangana Rashtra Samithi (TRS) are predicted to get 13 seats each. Among other states where Congress is expected to suffer losses are Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and Kerala.
In Rajasthan, the survey showed Congress winning just five seats, a loss of 15 seats, all of them picked up by the BJP. Similarly, in UP too, the Congress' tally will come down from 21 as it will lose 16 seats and the same would be bagged by Samajwadi Party (SP) and Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP).
The survey also indicated that Delhi would go to the BJP which would bag six of the seven seats. In Maharashtra, the survey showed the Congress losing six from its 2009 tally of 17 seats and NCP losing two, while BJP and the Shiv Sena are expected to pick up four and three seats each over their 2009 tally, bringing their tally to 13 and 14 seats respectively of the state's 48 seats.
In West Bengal, Trinamool will gain four seats in 2014 taking its tally to 23 and the Left will just pick up one more totalling 16 seats. The Congress would be a major loser here, losing three of its six seats in West Bengal.
In Tamil Nadu, the DMK's tally is expected to come down to just five seats from 18 in 2009, while AIADMK's will go up from nine to 28 seats.
Source: ZeeNews
http://2014-elections-in-india.blogspot.in/2013/09/2014-elections-forecasting-for-bjp-win.html
ReplyDeleteIN WESTBENGAL IF THE LEFTS PICK 16,TMC 23,CONG 3 AND BJP NOT LESS THAN 2--TOTAL LS SEATS HAVE TO BE 44.BUT THE STATE HAS 42 SEATS.SO WHAT THE SURVEY PROVES?
GOP
ReplyDeleteIn America , GOP stands for “ Grand Old Party “ , ie the Republican Party
In India , Congress could be termed GOP , having ruled the country for over 55 years since independence
Sheila Dikshit is the Chief Minister of GOP - ruled Delhi for last 15 years
In 1998 , she defeated BJP’s Sushma Swaraj and came to power
All because Sushma could not contain the onion prices then and people of Delhi got angry
This time , it looks like Sheila’s turn !
But Arvind Kejriwal of Aam Aadmi Party ( AAP ) is spoiling the fun !
By challenging Sheila to a public debate in Ram Lila ground
He wants to discuss GOP , viz:
G ( for Garlic )
O ( for Onions )
P ( for Potatoes )
GOL ( Grand Old Lady ) says , “ This is patently unfair . Can’t you see that I am begging the hoarders to release the stocks ? ”
May be she should beg the people of Delhi to turn Jains – at least till 4th December
But then , if Jains keep away from “ Garlic – Onion – Potatoes “ , they might even keep away from the Grand Old Party !
Whichever way you look , it seems , on 4th Dec , it is
“ Advantage AAP “
People of Delhi are angrier than ever !
• hemen parekh ( 25 Oct 2013 )
Tora..............Tora.............Tora
ReplyDeleteDuring World War - 2 , as they approached Pearl Harbour on American coast , pilots of Japanese bombers chanted ,
Tora , Tora , Tora
( Attack , Attack , Attack )
As they approach 2014 National elections , 725 million Indian voters are chanting ,
NOTA , NOTA , NOTA
For past few months , they have been watching the mud-slinging by their political leaders on TV , Newspapers , Internet , Rallys etc
And they are wondering :
Only time these leaders cared to talk to us is when they wanted our votes during the past 10 years !
They are least bothered if,
> We commit suicide ( with family ) because we are jobless
( JOBS )
> Our children go to sleep hungry
( POVERTY )
> We sleep on the footpath
( HOUSING )
> Our dilapidated buildings are about to crash
( URBAN DECAY )
> Even employed amongst us have no money to buy vegetables
( RISING PRICES )
> Our children are dying of dengue because we live on overflowing gutters
( LIVING CONDITIONS )
> Our women must walk 5 miles to fetch water
( SAFE DRINKING WATER )
> Our children must walk 5 miles to go to a teacher-less school
( EDUCATION )
> For want of nearby hospital , our wives die during delivery
( HEALTH-CARE )
> Without fans , we get scorched in summer heat
( ELECTRICITY )
> To and fro , work-place , we spend 4 hours on the road
( TRANSPORT )
Do these persons whose names appear on Electronic Voting Machines ( EVM ) , care for our tortured / tormented lives ?
Are these not the very persons who have made our lives , a living hell ?
From their air-conditioned cars and their air-conditioned bedrooms , do they have any time to peep into our slums ?
Their only concern is to get voted back to power and make tons of money !
NOTA , NOTA , NOTA
* hemen parekh ( 02 Nov 2013 )