| My Final Prediction: BJP led NDA (387 Seats) [Check it on 16th-May 2014 till Govt. Formation] |
BJP-Winning Prediction as on 11-May 2014
1. BJP is going to Sweep-across States like Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh (MP), Rajasthan and Uttarakhand i.e. 82 out of 85 Seats. |
BJP-Winning Prediction as on 03-April 2014: (Based on Visitors Trends)
1. BJP is going to Sweep-across States like Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh (MP), Rajasthan and Uttarakhand i.e. 85 Seats.
2. In UP, BJP is going to win over 45+ Seats easily.
3. In Bihar, BJP - 21 Seats & LJP - 4 Seats (i.e. 25+ Seats).
4. In above 5-States, BJP will win approx. 145-150 Seats alone.
5.***** BJP is going to create historic win with over 250+ Seats alone and other parties of NDA will win 25+ seats easily .i.e aprox. 275+ seats of NDA in 16th Lok Sabha Polls.
2014 Elections Forecast | 2014 Election Prediction | Chances of BJP Win
States
|
Total Seats
|
Current Tally
|
Wrost Case
|
Average Case
|
Optimal Case
|
Actual Result
|
| Uttar Pradesh |
80
|
10
|
40
|
45
|
56
|
71
|
| Maharashtra |
48
|
9
|
15
|
18
|
21
|
24
|
| Andhra Pradesh |
42
|
NIL
|
2
|
4
|
5 |
3
|
| West Bengal |
42
|
1
|
2
|
4
|
5
|
2
|
| Bihar |
40
|
12
|
18
|
22
|
25
|
25
|
| Tamil Nadu |
39
|
NIL
|
2
|
2
|
2
|
1
|
| Madhya Pradesh |
29
|
16
|
22
|
25
|
28
|
27
|
| Karnataka |
28
|
19
|
12
|
14
|
16
|
17
|
| Gujarat |
26
|
15
|
21
|
23
|
26
|
26
|
| Rajasthan |
25
|
4
|
19
|
21
|
24
|
25
|
| Odisha |
21
|
NIL
|
6
|
8
|
11
|
1
|
| Kerala |
20
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
1
|
0
|
| Jharkhand |
14
|
8
|
8
|
8
|
9
|
12
|
| Assam |
14
|
4
|
4
|
5
|
7
|
7
|
| Punjab |
13
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
| Chhattisgarh |
11
|
10
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
10
|
| Haryana |
10
|
NIL
|
2
|
4
|
6
|
7
|
| Delhi |
7
|
NIL
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
| Jammu and Kashmir |
6
|
NIL
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
| Uttarakhand |
5
|
NIL
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
5
|
| Himachal Pradesh |
4
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
| Arunachal Pradesh |
2
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
1
|
| Goa |
2
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
2
|
| Manipur |
2
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
0
|
| Meghalaya |
2
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
0
|
| Tripura |
2
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
0
|
| Mizoram |
1
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
0
|
| Nagaland |
1
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
0
|
| Sikkim |
1
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
0
|
| Andaman and Nicobar |
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
| Dadra and Nagar Haveli |
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
| Daman and Diu |
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
| Chandigarh |
1
|
NIL
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
| Lakshadweep |
1
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
|
| Puducherry |
1
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
NIL
|
|
| Total |
545
|
116
|
197+
|
230+
|
275+
|
Important Facts to Know:
1. The above prediction/forecasting is only based on BJP winning seats, not included results for NDA pre or post alliances.
2. Above predicted data is based on current scenario and present popularity of Modi & BJP among Indians.
3. Only Modi magic can gain BJP for more than 150 seats across country especially in North-States.
4. In any worst case, NDA (with Shivsena & Shiromani Akali Dal) will win 220+ seats.
5. In optimal conditions as of now, NDA will win over 325+ seats easily.
6. Data is predicted based on Blog visitors response and users behavior.
7. We invite all web/internet visitors to follow this blog and share your views regularly so that we can predict more accurate NDA winning figures.
UP Figure of Average 30 Seats looks not possible. it can organize say 12 seats max at best. 15 seats from Maharashtra next to impossible. max 5 seats looks like a realistic possible. Bihar 18 ill logical 5 or 7 seats max in current conditions. over all it can touch 130 to 140 on its own then adding NDA Partners...pooled together say around 220 seats max then need to look for parties that can support in Govt formations so back to same stage Government on 13 to 15 legs. Even Atal Bihari Vajpayee ji cannot gather 190 of its own in 2004 how can MODI get 235 best & 178 as average. is MODI bigger then a clean Vajpayee ji who had respect and command even in south India, Can MODI win South ? can he get even 25 seats pooled together from 4 states in South. Can he Cut thru BIHAR ? & UP.
ReplyDeleteoy congressi :0
Deleteit's right calculation how can arrenge bjp 235 seat max.150-170 only along with nda.
DeleteBJP surely win 190 to 200 seats alone and present NDA partnes 30 to 40 seats total is 220 to 240. they need others party support for 60 to 40 seats that easily manage aftar election from AIDMK YSR OR BJD.
Deletecongressi are not going to stop doing BHRASHTACHAAR , shahezada is not going to stop doing PAPPUGIRI , in next 4 -5 months if this continues BJP will definitely cross 225
Deleteravichander ji noting is impossible
DeleteDear Mr Ravichandra Rao ....
DeleteThere is a modi wave / Storm all over India.....BJP will win more than 235 seats .you watch out........Its not about Vajpayeeji or Modiji.....Vajpeeji was grt leader.but unfortunately it was simple vajpayee mood ...no wave or storm......but modi is riding on a wave or a storm.
Even under Vajpayee+VAsundhar BJP could just cross 120 is rajasthan......but Modi + Vasundhra have crossed 160 in Rajasthan.........CLEAR HINT OF A STORM
No Name of State Member NDA
Delete1 Andhra Pradesh 42 12
2 Arunachal Pradesh 2
3 Assam 14 4
4 Bihar 40 20
5 Chhattisgarh 11 8
6 Goa 2 2
7 Gujarat 26 22
8 Haryana 10 6
9 Himachal Pradesh 4 2
10 Jammu and Kashmir 6 2
11 Jharkhand 14 8
12 Karnataka 28 15
13 Kerala 20
14 Madhya Pradesh 29 24
15 Maharashtra 48 30
16 Manipur 2
17 Meghalaya 2
18 Mizoram 1
19 Nagaland 1
20 Odisha 21 5
21 Punjab 13 8
22 Rajasthan 25 21
23 Sikkim 1
24 Tamil Nadu 39 4
25 Tripura 2
26 Uttar Pradesh 80 45
27 Uttarakhand 5 3
28 West Bengal 42 2
29 Andaman and Nicobar 1
30 Chandigarh 1 1
31 Dadra and Nagar Haveli 1 1
32 Daman and Diu 1 1
33 Delhi 7 4
34 Lakshadweep 1
35 Puducherry 1
Total 543 250
Dears.............Modi Wave........ No such wave in India.. Anti incumpancy factor is there....... that doesnt mean that bjp will win more than 200 seats.. where BJP in 250 seats..... r u realiztic. start from south, where bjp in kerala, where in taminadu, where in andhra, where in wb were in manipur, where in arunachal, where in mizoram...... there will be third front government in the centre with help of Congress. Even 2004 elections, all medias projected bjp win but reality was different.. confidence is good.. but that wont work here.
DeleteOH YOU CONGRESS MAN.................BJP WILL GET MORE THAN 250 SEATS ALONE
DeleteMr . Unnikrishnan Pallipatt, As long as people like you doesn't vote for a national cause.. country will struggle. What u said about south states !!! just wait and watch.. I don't understand what is wrong with my fellow Kelara , and Tamilnadu people... you guys are playing spoil sport by not giving majority to a single party thus spoiling the ability of the elected government decision making capability as it forces them to take opinions of 10 donkeys who are in alliance to form the government .. Grow up man make India strong ....don't spoil the spirit of the nation..
Deletenarendrea modi has spoilt the allaince game that could have tricked the nda to victory...he will find very less support from the regional parties..and the kind of calculation that is being made is like the media campaign...he is everywhere..general election doesnt happen that way...you cant win 100% seats in so many states and also your presence is very weak in two major states like bihar and up...tou are no where in west bengal odisha tamil nadu andhra, j&k and other eastern states....a poor one man show of democracry.it is sad that he doesnt understand the diversified india and its voters. a sad show of democracy in a country where it is very easy to be a hero by just juggling out words...But it ll fall with time.
DeleteMr Haque,Sh Narendra Modi had been touring Length and Breadth of India for 35 years understanding the psyche of Indians and his motherland.He tells the youth to DREAM what to do and NOT what to become.He is always talking Positive.Let us Learn from his selfless ways and take the nation forward as a team.
DeleteAs election date closer Congress continiously decline its popularity on other hand Modi as well as youth voters will increase their effort to throw this currupt Congress and UPA Govt on the basis of failour in all front.As per present sinario single BJP can win at least 280 seat.
ReplyDeleteIn order to form government, BJP should do well in UP. If they failed in UP, I guess government is only a dream then. In present scenario BJP can cross previous best figure of 182 since right now people are seeking alternative of congress and BJP can capitalize that chance. What i feel is whatever the circumstances are, BJP 's tally will be restricted under 200.
ReplyDeleteThey hope to do well in U.P. by engineering riots to polarise society like they did in Gujarat after Godhra train burning incident in 2002. That paid rich political dividends for the party. Now they have sent Amit Shah the troublemaker to U.P.to try the same there. The two BJP MLAs against whom FIRs are booked have been publicly felicitated by BJP, showing it is ready to play communal card once more to harvest political gains.
DeleteBJP+alliances shall do well where UPA or Congress Govt has faltered badly in non governance . BJP victory in Hindi land will be also translated in South and thus my rough estimates that NDA shall garner more than 280 seats (+-10 seats ) easily . To assert the same BJP has to do much of hard work in last crucial 9th phase poll where 41 seats are very critical
Deletei think time is now up for conress...now around 70/ youth with modi..n its first time that youth will become king maker in lok sabha elec.bjp.alone got 195-200seats..n congress below 110seats.
ReplyDeleteHi,
ReplyDeleteI have been watching all the videos and blogs on Namo but I look back on the 2004 general elections. I was watching the results closely and couldn't believe UPA came to power then and BJP did not even get a second term.
Now I think, its better to be cautious and work harder than be optimistic and I am not sure how I can contribute in my individual capacity. When I talk to my friends back home, they tell me people in villages do not even know about Modi. Even though those of us using Facebook and youtube know about modi, we are just the urban majority. There are a lot of people out there who blindly support Congress.
Even though we may be sharing videos on facebook or talking to friends about the next elections, its not going to stop say Rahul from becoming the next PM. What we really need is to get the people who think Rahul is the grandson of Mahatma Gandhi to come forward and vote for the BJP.
I keep thinking how we can do this, how I can do this. Any suggestions ?
I completely agree with you : On our part we can start talking to the less fortunate staff that we may be having or the village folks whom we meet, even though rarely. Even I have realised that the congress is popular in areas where literacy is scant and where communication is missing.
DeleteThe hype for MODI as mentioned by you might be limited to the urban areas but not as bad as it was in 2004. Yes the BJP needs to put in more effort in the rural areas to make sure that we save our country.
In 2004 elections the regional factors worked in congress favor. They had the alliance with TRS, which worked very well in telangana region. Congress also made the winning alliance with DMK and other regional parties in Tamil Nadu. In Maharashtra they became more stronger due to RPI joining Cong-NCP alliance. In addition to that their grand alliance of Cong-RJD-LJP swept Bihar. Congress defeated BJP in 2004 by understanding the fact that now Indian politics had enter in the era where politics has completely transferred into a Micro level. BJP went into 2004 completely on Indian Shining theme without understanding that micro level theory of modern politics of India and that is why they suffered those heavy losses.
DeleteJust see in 2013, if you are thinking that only Modi wave can bring victory for BJP, than it is complete non-sense. And for BJP supporters the best thing is this that unlike 2004 poll managers Mr Modi and his team knows this fact very much. That is why they are looking into the micro level of Indian politics. Today there is BJP & Modi wave in western UP, But it is due to the muslim appeasement by rest of political parties in communal riots. Today every Hindu is seeing only Modi as a solution to this appeasement. That is why even those groups who didn’t vote for BJP during Ram mandir wave are now openly supporting Modi.
Narendra Modi and his team know the importance of this micro level political structure in India and that is why they want to bring Babulal Mrandi in Jharkhand & Yedurapa in Karnatka. In Bihar BJP is projecting Narendra Modi as an OBC leader. In Bihar now BJP has a very good coolectice leadership of Bhramins, OBC and other classes and that is why every body is hoping of a good BJP show in Bihar. Narendra Modi has bring an enthusiasm in the BJP worker and a large urban voters will vote for him. But to win the elections you need a well planed policy which will conquer the micro level structure of Indian politics.
The basic difference in 2004 & 2013 BJP is that in 2004 they were completely fighting the election on centralized level where as in 2013 they have understood the micro level structure of Indian politics and they are planning according to it.
All depends on how many go out to vote from the newly enlisted voters. The youth of this country seemingly wants MODI and to throw out the highly corrupt congress. They have only one issue and that is 2002 whereas the youth seems to be disinterested in that : the youth wants development, jobs, a progressive work environment, opportunity and to move forward with a clear vision.
ReplyDeleteIf the youth wants to contribute to the rehaping of our country then the minimum they need to do is to go out and vote.
Hope the forecast stands correct........looking forward for 'congress mukt bharat'.....
ReplyDeleteI think you change average cases for Uttrakahnd & Haryana. You have taken 2 seats for BJP in average case and 4 in optimal case. But as I am from Uttrakhand, I say at least 3 seats for BJP in average or even in worst case. Because Mr Bhuvan Chandra Kahnduri from Pauri Garhwal seat & Mr Bhagat Singh Kosuhyari from nanital seat are sure winners. And BJP is also in very strong position in Garwhal because of very big urban population in it which includes state capital dehradun. Also if BJP fields Mr Madan Koushik or Mr Ramesh Pokhriyal from haridwar they too are almost clear winner from that seat. So take at least 3 in average scenario and 4 or may be 5 as optimal scenario for BJP in Uttrakhand. Because in fifth seat that is Almora, remember BJP gave a good fight to congress in last elections when it was routed every where in the state and country.
ReplyDeleteAlso I think you are taking BJP very week in Haryana, which is not true. BJP is always performed well in Haryana whenever they have gone with a strong regional leader. They formed state government and sweep the parliamentary elections with Bansilal as well as Choutala’s INLD. Now they are in the fray with Kuldeep Bishnoi, which is the strongest non-jat leader from the state and since in alliance they have decided that BJP will fight in 8 seats so they have a very good chance of winning Faridabad, Gurgaon, Ambala, Karnal & Kurushetra. So take 3 as average case instead of 2 & 6 as optimal case instead of 4.
I also request you to change your optimal case for Rajastan, as BJP have already won 21 out of 25 in 2004, so as know the popularity of Vasundhra Raje & Narnedra Modi is capable of repeating that or even bettering it so I request you to increase optimal case of Rajasthan to 22.
In Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka lots depends upon regional factors. If Yedurapa along with him can bring maximum of his lingayat votes to BJP, than we BJP may repeat its last time performance. In Andhra Pradesh BJP may be benefited in Tilangana due to Owasi’s big political dreams and in seemandhra its lot depends on alliances. Tamil Nadu too is a state which has its own political arithmetic’s where small players like DMDK, PMK & MDMK can change the whole scenario. It also lot depend on Rajnikant response to BJP’s offer, if he joins BJP, just see the change he brings in political scenario in Tamil Nadu.
Uttar Pradesh is going well for BJP as BJP is all set to almost sweep western UP. OBC vote bank which is largest in UP is moving towards BJP in whole UP.
Confidence Vs Arrogance
ReplyDeleteBoth , Sheila Dikshit ( Congress ) and Vijay Goel ( BJP ) , are loudly proclaiming that their party will win the forthcoming Delhi Assembly Elections , with a thumping majority
Even Arvind Kejriwal ( Aam Aadmi Party ) is saying the same
That is understandable , considering that the Commanders must enthuse their cadres
Such confidence on their part is a pre-requisite for winning
But what happens when Sheila Dikshit says ,
“ Aam Aadmi Party ? Who are they ? Nobody !
They don’t scare us . They are insignificant .
What is their agenda ? What is their record ?
People of Delhi will ignore them ! “
Now , that is bravado
People of Delhi !
For over a decade , you have suffered this insult
4th December is your time to teach a lesson to the arrogant rulers of Delhi
By voting / electing , at least 40 AAP candidates
Only you can give yourself a break !
• hemen parekh ( 12 Oct 2013 )
DEAR FRIEND AAP CAN'T REACH EVEN 5 SEATS.U CAN SEE THERESULT IN DEC 8
Deletemany people are calculating seats of congress and BJP on different basis. but one thing is sure this time the election is not between two political parties it is between in support of namo or in against of namo. the indian citizen this time has clear criteria for vote. this time the regional factors are not going to dominate like 2004 election as congress and many leaders like Nitish etc take pride in criticize Mr. Modi . It appears that parties like SP , BSP, JDU and Congress are full time busy in defaming Mr. Modi and his development rather than putting up their energy in justifying their working of ten years in centre. On the other hand Mr Modi is putting up vision. less engage in criticisism so the stature of Mr Modi is growing bigger day by day. regarding popularity in rural arrears is concerned. the biggest chunk of seats is in UP and Bihar. many say rural population does not even don't no about modi. it is totally non sense. as we know the rural population of UP and Bihar are more politically vibrant and analytical and well consus even more than urban population. in these 120 seats all the urban as well as rural population known mr modi very well. So I guess that In Bihar BJP has fair chance of wining 25 seats and above. No body will take interest in JDU for LOk sabha. charisma of Mr Nitish may work only in Assembly election only and he will be limited this time to single digit only. therefore we can assume 220 to 230 seats alone for BJP this time
ReplyDeleteBJP surely win 190 to 200 seats alone and present NDA partnes 30 to 40 seats total is 220 to 240. they need others party support for 60 to 40 seats that easily manage aftar election from AIDMK YSR OR BJD.
ReplyDeleteSURE BJP WILL WIN 220-230 SEATS ALONE.
ReplyDeleteAfter railly of kanpur in up i uderstnad one thing is very clear this time its NAMO vs all other party i am 100% sure that bjp will win 40+ seats in up..bcz laptop charm is over youth is talking about jobs n development of india n up..bjp all alone can win 220+ seats fot sure.vande matram.
ReplyDeleteFine, leaving aside all these predictions chances are more for BJP to form a coalition Govt. at centre in 2014 and is for sure
ReplyDeleteI am sure BJP will get somewhere around 160-180 seats, but still need to have strong pre or post poll alliance with AIADMK, BJD and TDP. Alliance is going to be very crucial for BJP to come bank in power
ReplyDeletesurely BJP will win above 200seats...but congress doesnt get even triple digit,in INDIA there are no more days for congress party
ReplyDelete65 years me congress ne poorey desh ki vaat lagayi.
ReplyDeletebhrashtachaar
bhrashtachaar
bhrashtachaar aaur sirf bhrashtachaar
The second word is SECULARISM
If congress is calling BJP 'jatiyawadi" then they are indirectly blaming the people of GUJRAT,MP,CHHATISGARH...........Does the congress wants to say that the people of these states are jatiyawadi' bcoz they have electing BJP.
Also people of Delhi must think very seriously before voting,they must give CLEAR verdict,NO HUNG ASSEMBLY please.
CONGRESS FULL FORM: CORRUPTION + OUTDATED+NONSENSE+GREEDY + RUSTED + ELIMINATE + SICK + SAHJADA PARTY............
ReplyDeletejai hind
ReplyDeletethis corrupted congress has done nothing for our country
0% development
and that idiot rahul wants to become the PM ,how shame on indian politics and people!
this time modi is the PM
he will make our country HINDUSTAN
;)
JAI HIND
jai hind
ReplyDeletethis corrupted congress has done nothing for our country.
fiscal deficit is ever increasing government doing nothing for common man.
inflation is increasing, no safty for women.they r master in corruption
UP - 35
ReplyDeleteBihar - 20
Delhi- 6
Madhya Pradesh - 22
Punjab (with sad)- 10
Rajasthan - 19
Maharashta (with SS, MNS and RPI) - 32 (imp state)
Gujarat - 22
Goa - 2
North east - 6
Karnataka (with the help of yadurappa) - 13
Remaining South, west Bengal and oddisha - 5
Haryana (kuldeep Vishnoi) - 3
jharkhand (babu lal marandi) - 10
chattisgarh- 8
Himachal Pradesh, Uttrakhand and J&K- 8
Remaining UT,s- (bjp get 4)
If I add all these current nda get- 225
Then AIADMK- (25), TDP- (7) Bjd- (15), other small allies-15
Total -290 wait and watch these will happen in 2014
NARENDRA MODI will be the UNDISPUTABLE PRIME MINISTER of INDIA ! BJP itself will get around 220 seats !
ReplyDeleteBJP on its own will cross 220+ this time. With alliances like SAD+SS+TDP+MDMK, it will get the requered majority !!
ReplyDeleteDo not Dream. Neither Congress nor BJP will come in majority. Congress 150 - 175 & BJP 175 - 190 in 2014 General Election. Who Knows Modi in rural India ?
ReplyDeleteIn Fact all regional parties will be king maker (AIDMK, TMC, BSP & JDU)
Ya Ahmad you are right. same situation will happen as of 2004
DeleteThis is country is fed up of the communal card . This country has secularism in its DNA and no body can destroy it. Congress and regional party has no developmental model ( sick and tired of Lalu ,MSY and Congress )
DeletePls cast vote on development
No Name of State Member BJP-NDA my prediction BJP-NDA Result Diff
Delete1 Andhra Pradesh 42 20 19 -1
2 Arunachal Pradesh 2 1 1 0
3 Assam 14 8 7 -1
4 Bihar 40 27 31 4
5 Chhattisgarh 11 10 10 0
6 Goa 2 2 2 0
7 Gujarat 26 24 26 2
8 Haryana 10 8 7 -1
9 Himachal Pradesh 4 3 4 1
10 Jammu and Kashmir 6 2 3 1
11 Jharkhand 14 10 12 2
12 Karnataka 28 20 17 -3
13 Kerala 20 1 0 -1
14 Madhya Pradesh 29 25 27 2
15 Maharashtra 48 34 42 8
16 Manipur 2 0 0 0
17 Meghalaya 2 0 1 1
18 Mizoram 1 0 0 0
19 Nagaland 1 0 1 1
20 Odisha 21 8 1 -7
21 Punjab 13 9 6 -3
22 Rajasthan 25 21 25 4
23 Sikkim 1 0 0 0
24 Tamil Nadu 39 8 2 -6
25 Tripura 2 0 0 0
26 Uttar Pradesh 80 50 73 23
27 Uttarakhand 5 5 5 0
28 West Bengal 42 2 2 0
29 Andaman and Nicobar 1 1 1 0
30 Chandigarh 1 1 1 0
31 Dadra and Nagar Haveli 1 1 1 0
32 Daman and Diu 1 1 1 0
33 Delhi 7 6 7 1
34 Lakshadweep 1 0 0 0
35 Puducherry 1 0 1 1
Total 543 308 336 28
No Name of State Member NDA
ReplyDelete1 Andhra Pradesh 42 12
2 Arunachal Pradesh 2
3 Assam 14 4
4 Bihar 40 20
5 Chhattisgarh 11 8
6 Goa 2 2
7 Gujarat 26 22
8 Haryana 10 6
9 Himachal Pradesh 4 2
10 Jammu and Kashmir 6 2
11 Jharkhand 14 8
12 Karnataka 28 15
13 Kerala 20
14 Madhya Pradesh 29 24
15 Maharashtra 48 30
16 Manipur 2
17 Meghalaya 2
18 Mizoram 1
19 Nagaland 1
20 Odisha 21 5
21 Punjab 13 8
22 Rajasthan 25 21
23 Sikkim 1
24 Tamil Nadu 39 4
25 Tripura 2
26 Uttar Pradesh 80 45
27 Uttarakhand 5 3
28 West Bengal 42 2
29 Andaman and Nicobar 1
30 Chandigarh 1 1
31 Dadra and Nagar Haveli 1 1
32 Daman and Diu 1 1
33 Delhi 7 4
34 Lakshadweep 1
35 Puducherry 1
Total 543 250
250 seat for BJP NDA
DeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteBJP will never get a single seat in at least half of Indian states. BSP and SP in UP are underestimated. When all parties are contesting alone in UP, BSP will gain benefits and BJP will not move more than what it had achieved last time. The trick of Modi vs Rahul may not work out among most of voters. Only hindutva card will as usual give some more seats than last time. Even the "Namo Fish", "Namo Chicken" will not win Tamil Nadu voters.
ReplyDeletecongress will get 150+ and will come to power with the help of SP, BSP, DMK, NCP, RJD, JD and TMC. It will go like this only
Deleteit is very important to alliance with other than nda candidate because its india and here nothing is impossible.if bjp alliance with other regional parties it may be possible narendra will be the next pm.
ReplyDeleteState/ut Total Seats BJP
ReplyDeleteAndaman and Nicobar Islands 1
Andhra Pradesh 28 2
Arunachal Pradesh 2 1
Assam 14 5
Bihar 40 22
Chandigarh 1 1
Chhattisgarh 11 9
Dadra and Nagar Haveli 1 1
Daman and Diu 1 1
Delhi 7 4
Goa 2 1
Gujarat 26 22
Haryana 10 5
Himachal Pradesh 4 3
Jammu & Kashmir 6 2
Jharkhand 14 7
Karnataka 28 10
Kerala 20 1
Lakshadweep 1
Madhya Pradesh 29 24
Maharashtra 48 15
Manipur 2
Meghalaya 2
Mizoram 1
Nagaland 1
Orissa 21 1
Pondicherry 1
Punjab 13 2
Rajasthan 25 21
Sikkim 1
Tamil Nadu 39 2
Tripura 2
Uttar Pradesh 80 40
Uttaranchal 5 4
West Bengal 42 2
Telengana 14 1
Total 543 209
along with prepoll alliances of MDMK+DMDK+PMK (7), LJP+ Kushawa (6), Shivsena (14), SAD (4), HJC (1) P A Sangma NPP (1) BJP will reach 242. And in post poll scenario with DMK (5), TRS (8), TDP (8), AGP (1), Babulal Marandi's JVM (2), north east small parties (4), INLD (1), Ajit Singh RLD (2) BJP will reach 273. Once they reach 273 without any big partner than all of those bigies like AIADMK, BJD, Mamata;s TMC will give them unconditional support.
ReplyDeleteBefore AAP was not a factor BJP could go up to 180-200 seats but AAP factor is going to dent the BJP wave made by media. Recent budget has shown Congress is doing much better than expected and could help Congress. Recent decisions by Congress will help. BJP will end up by 150-170 and present NDA will get up to 180-200. Congress will do 140 plus. Third front has also chance to form Government wiith Congress Support.
ReplyDeletehmmm, it will go like this only. Hopefully a new face for PM post will arise from regional parties with the help of congress
DeleteNo Name of State Member NDA-March
ReplyDelete1 Andhra Pradesh 42 18
2 Arunachal Pradesh 02 01
3 Assam 14 07
4 Bihar 40 25
5 Chhattisgarh 11 10
6 Goa 02 02
7 Gujarat 26 23
8 Haryana 10 07
9 Himachal Pradesh 04 03
10 Jammu and Kashmir 06 02
11 Jharkhand 14 08
12 Karnataka 28 20
13 Kerala 20 01
14 Madhya Pradesh 29 25
15 Maharashtra 48 32
16 Manipur 02
17 Meghalaya 02
18 Mizoram 01
19 Nagaland 01
20 Odisha 21 07
21 Punjab 13 10
22 Rajasthan 25 21
23 Sikkim 01
24 Tamil Nadu 39 04
25 Tripura 02
26 Uttar Pradesh 80 45
27 Uttarakhand 05 04
28 West Bengal 42 02
29 Andaman and Nicobar 01 01
30 Chandigarh 01 01
31 Dadra and Nagar 01 01
32 Daman and Diu 01 01
33 Delhi 07 04
34 Lakshadweep 01
35 Puducherry 01
Total 543 285
285 seat for BJP -NDA
Deletetell feedback on ganeshbari85@gmail.com
Looking back at 2009 Elections, ADMK - 14 and DMK 26. But there was vote split by Vijaykanth Party around 1 to 1.3 Lakhs votes in 15 to 20 constituencies. People of tamilnadu didn't like Congress in 2009. But the vote splitting made the DMK and Congress to reach the power.
DeleteHope people of tamilnadu will think this time and NOT allow vote split which will be finally favorable to DMK.
I will go with ADMK assuming they will support BJP after election.
UPA come back . every time media say BJP form govt but UPA come back again
ReplyDeleteyou are right bro. 2004 case will be repeated in 2014
DeleteBabaji ka Thulu for UPA
DeleteMy friends .. it now or never.. if we need strong India with a strong leader we should vote for right party.. At this point in time only strong man we can see is Modi.. He is fearless and has ability to take quick decisions.. India need that today not scams.. Youths are struggling without jobs .. our Army is weak against Chinese.. and lack of modernization in all sectors ...No safety for women .. lack strong laws... this wont help India.. Please come together by leaving the communal agenda... We need to make our mother India strong ...no out side force or Inner evil forces should dare to look at my mother India.. Congress has done enough damage for India...
ReplyDeleteSo please my friends vote for national cause and vote for BJP lets give Modi a chance.... one last chance and one last hope..doesn't matter weather you are a Hindu, Muslim, Christian, Sikh ...doesn't matter your from which state..TN, Kerala, AP...KAR...UP, Punjab, Bihar, WB..MH, Orissa, J&K, Delhi, Manipur, NE states.. Please come forward...and Vote for change...Mother India needs us to be united.. If we are not united then again people like British will rule us...when British came to India we were not united to fight against them... so they went on ruling us. The same situation might come again.. Be a responsible Indian and Vote for India...
BJP WILL GET 220 PLUS ON THERE OWN,,,LIVE IN PRESENT GUYS
ReplyDeleteMost realistic survey
ReplyDeleteBJP 250 on their own. Come on.
ReplyDeleteBJP and its allies as per current trend appear to be on course to get around 225 seats. BJP in that will be around 195 seats. This could change both in favour and against BJP. The not so smooth ticket allocation coupled with excessive focus on giving tickets to cross over politicians and high profile persons from other walks of life at the cost of its long time members does not augur well.
ReplyDeleteMy break up is as follows.
State Seats Cong+ BJP+ Others
UP 80 6 32 42
Maharashtra 48 21 25 2
AP 42 13 5 24
WB 42 4 2 36
Bihar 40 12 21 7
TN 39 0 6 33
MP 29 6 23 0
Karnataka 28 11 17 0
Gujarat 26 5 21 0
Rajasthan 25 6 19 0
Orissa 21 4 1 16
Kerala 20 12 1 7
Assam 14 8 4 2
Jharkhand 14 3 8 3
Punjab 13 2 11 0
Chattisgarh 11 4 7 0
Haryana 10 6 3 1
Delhi 7 1 3 3
J&K 6 1 2 3
Uttarakhand 5 1 4 0
HP 4 1 3 0
Goa 2 0 2 0
Arunachal Pr. 2 1 1 0
Manipur 2 2 0 0
Meghalaya 2 1 1 0
Tripura 2 0 0 2
Nagaland 1 1 0 0
Mizoram 1 1 0 0
Sikkim 1 0 0 1
Chandigarh 1 0 1 0
Pondicherry 1 0 1 0
Daman & Diu 1 1 0 0
Dadra & Nagar Haveli 1 0 0 1
A&N 1 0 1 0
Lakshadweep 1 1 0 0
TOTAL 543 135 225 183
Now a days Modi vs Congress, Modi vs kejriwal, Modi Vs mulayam , Modi vs Mayawati , Modi vs Lalu , Modi vs Mamta reminds me Sachin Vs brian lara , Sachin vs Ricky ponting , Sachin vs sanath jaisuria , Sachin vs Kallis ....
ReplyDeleteBJP will get 250 seats easily and along with NDA it will get 272+ . this election will be a historic election. This time we should all come forward and vote for modi. We need to build our country and this time we have a golden chance. South India is said to be most educated part of India but I don't understand why they don't vote for BJP. Doesn't they want any development or not? Its high time that we should not waste our vote.
ReplyDeletecongress will come to power with the help of other regional parties same as like of 2004
ReplyDeleteso again same khicadi government and no development.
Deleteif it happen even god can't save us
DeleteBJP govt. is very good and My Favorite Polytician Mr. Nrender Modi
ReplyDeleteand this man capable to change the country history
so vote for 100%+ 10% Modi BJP
SO ALL WE R INDIA SO WE SHOULD VOTE FOR OVERALL DEVELOPMENT OF INDIA NOT TO DO SAME AGAIN AND AGAIN , AS WE CAN SEE JAPAN AFTER 2 ND WORLD WAR NOW IT CAN COMPETE WITH ANY COUNTRY OF WORLD
ReplyDeletemore of u predicted 15 out of 28 in karnataka for bjp.... here in karnataka voting has been completed conditions are more ever favor congress easily they will win 14 to 16 seats in karnataka. modi factor may work in north india , were in south blink chances to prove but nice effort from bjp.. all the best for modi.
ReplyDeleteAs per me BJP in Karnataka will win minimum of 15 seats. 1 or 2 JDS remaining congress. Being an BJP supporter expecting around 20 but looks difficult. But again 100% on getting 15.
ReplyDeleteneither modi nor rahul nor anyone from other parties. moot for someone not ccontested this election who is a good organiserr,who has a vison,,who is a great patriot.wno knows indian politics very well who is loved by the indias from their heart MOHAMMAD SHAFI
ReplyDeleteu want to be get noticed thats why u have predicted the total seat for bjp.
ReplyDeletebjp alone must win more than 250 seats
u want to be get noticed thats why u have predicted the total seat for bjp.
ReplyDeletebjp alone must win more than 250 seats
Punjab cho BJP khud nu underestimate kar rahi hai. 13 cho kat ton kat 9 seatan BJP no milangiyan.
ReplyDeleteThe fascist , corrupt ( 4 major scams in 35 months ) , lumpen TMC will get about 17 seats . BJP is likely to win 8 seats in WB .
ReplyDeletebjp or third front govt no chance for modi
ReplyDeleteI think BJP will get anything between 225-275. BJP may win surprise seats from Kerla, Bengal, Orisa, Tamil Nadu. NDA partners :- SAD:- 5-7, Shivsena:- 12-18, TDP:-10-15, LJP:- 4-5, DMDK+ 2-4, others including HJC, Apnadal, will give 4-5 seats. So partners will give 38- 54. so NDA will be between 263-329.
ReplyDeleteDear frnds bjp alone will win 225 to 240 seats and its alliance will get the remaining seats and the entire NDA will form the govt. full majority and Modi will give a good govt to Indians. Last thing Modi in his political career has never lost a single election. So Modi will surely form the govt and his sentence will come true that in any state congress will not win a single vote. So be ready for very shocking results. NDA-285 TO 295 SEATS SURE.
ReplyDeleteNDA WON 295 SEATS
ReplyDeleteNo leader in congress had any vision for country, yes they had all vision for scams, how to counter any good suggestion, perfect in diverting issues. I am ashamed of them when they uttered nonsense over pious ANNA HAZARE,old man who lead 5lakh crowd over roads over good cause, deceived him and all people of country through "FAKE LETTER OF ASSURANCE BY PARLIAMENT-LEADER SARDARJI(ASARDAR). NO MORAL, LET THE PEOPLE TEACH THESE DONKEY A LESSON.
ReplyDeleteI LIKE TO SEE MODI AS PRIME MINISTER
ReplyDeleteNo Name of State Member BJP-NDA
ReplyDelete1 Andhra Pradesh 42 20
2 Arunachal Pradesh 02 01
3 Assam 14 08
4 Bihar 40 27
5 Chhattisgarh 11 10
6 Goa 02 02
7 Gujarat 26 24
8 Haryana 10 08
9 Himachal Pradesh 04 03
10 Jammu and Kashmir 06 02
11 Jharkhand 14 10
12 Karnataka 28 20
13 Kerala 20 01
14 Madhya Pradesh 29 25
15 Maharashtra 48 34
16 Manipur 02 00
17 Meghalaya 02 00
18 Mizoram 01 00
19 Nagaland 01 00
20 Odisha 21 08
21 Punjab 13 09
22 Rajasthan 25 21
23 Sikkim 01 00
24 Tamil Nadu 39 08
25 Tripura 02 00
26 Uttar Pradesh 80 50
27 Uttarakhand 05 05
28 West Bengal 42 02
29 Andaman and Nicobar 01 01
30 Chandigarh 01 01
31 Dadra and Nagar Haveli 01 01
32 Daman and Diu 01 01
33 Delhi 07 06
34 Lakshadweep 01 00
35 Puducherry 01 00
Total 543 308
308 seat for BJP -NDA
Deletetell feedback on ganeshbari85@gmail.com
current situation support your figure of 300+
Deletewest bengal bjp may win 6 to 10 seat with the support of modi wave. mamataji tusi gayi sajho
ReplyDeleteIts difficult for BJP to win more seats in UP and Bihar being honest because in UP and Bihar Congress, SP and BSP do booth capturing. in West Bengal also the same thing happens. The areas where media or electric powers is not there there they do booth capturing completely. If BJP or AAP complains about 100 booth polls for it, they do re-poll only of 1 to 10 booth polls.
ReplyDeleteForgot to add one more thing, a lot of people did not get their voter ID card and their names are removed from the voter list by SP like how it happened in Mumbai was done by Congress. Almost 2.5 lac people names are removed from the voter list to stop Modi. It might have happened in whole UP, Bihar and not sure about West Bengal. So its very difficult for Modi to get alone seats more than 200, even it will be difficult in Varanasi due to Cheat playing by Congress, SP, BSP & TMC.
DeleteCheck out my predictions below...
ReplyDeletehttp://aneeshl.wordpress.com/
No Name of State Member BJP-NDA my prediction BJP-NDA Result Diff
ReplyDelete1 Andhra Pradesh 42 20 19 -1
2 Arunachal Pradesh 2 1 1 0
3 Assam 14 8 7 -1
4 Bihar 40 27 31 4
5 Chhattisgarh 11 10 10 0
6 Goa 2 2 2 0
7 Gujarat 26 24 26 2
8 Haryana 10 8 7 -1
9 Himachal Pradesh 4 3 4 1
10 Jammu and Kashmir 6 2 3 1
11 Jharkhand 14 10 12 2
12 Karnataka 28 20 17 -3
13 Kerala 20 1 0 -1
14 Madhya Pradesh 29 25 27 2
15 Maharashtra 48 34 42 8
16 Manipur 2 0 0 0
17 Meghalaya 2 0 1 1
18 Mizoram 1 0 0 0
19 Nagaland 1 0 1 1
20 Odisha 21 8 1 -7
21 Punjab 13 9 6 -3
22 Rajasthan 25 21 25 4
23 Sikkim 1 0 0 0
24 Tamil Nadu 39 8 2 -6
25 Tripura 2 0 0 0
26 Uttar Pradesh 80 50 73 23
27 Uttarakhand 5 5 5 0
28 West Bengal 42 2 2 0
29 Andaman and Nicobar 1 1 1 0
30 Chandigarh 1 1 1 0
31 Dadra and Nagar Haveli 1 1 1 0
32 Daman and Diu 1 1 1 0
33 Delhi 7 6 7 1
34 Lakshadweep 1 0 0 0
35 Puducherry 1 0 1 1
Total 543 308 336 28
Thanks to all true Indian
DeleteWho voted for change
Who voted for BJP?
Who voted against anti Indian party
Thanks to given clear majority seats to BJP- NDA