Monday, 14 May 2018

4 Years of Modi Government: An Online Survey by Local Circles Social Media Platform

New Delhi: Narendra Modi’s BJP-led central government has received a pat on its back as it gets set to celebrate four years in power this month and enter the election year.

In an online survey conducted by LocalCircles, 57 per cent of respondents have said that the NDA government has either met or exceeded their expectations.

However, this also means that the other 43 per cent of people are dissatisfied with the government, a number which has risen in the last couple of years. The corresponding figures in 2016 and 2017 were 36 per cent and 39 per cent respectively.

The percentage of respondents who feel the government has exceeded their expectations has risen from 17 to 28, while the number of those who feel the government has merely ‘met’ their expectations has dropped from 44 per cent to 29 per cent.

The BJP alone had won 282 seats in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, on the back of ambitious promises made by Modi.


Survey Sample Size:

LocalCircles is a social media platform launched in 2013, where citizens of an area can come together on issues of governance and shared interests, as well as flag common concerns to the administration. For this, users of the platform, who have to sign up and interact under their real names, become members of their ‘local circle’.

The latest online survey gives a picture of the government’s performance in 23 different areas or parameters. “These parameters are based on promises made by the government in its manifesto or issues identified by citizens on LocalCircles’ platform,” the social media platform stated.

“This year’s survey received more than 1,75,000 votes from approximately 62,000 citizens in 250 districts of India, and is the largest exercise of its kind, where citizens assess government performance.”


Parameters:

The BJP government has drawn flak for the hardship and economic distress caused due to the demonetisation of Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 currency notes in November 2016, and then the roll-out of the Goods and Services Tax in July 2017. Job generation has also been repeatedly mentioned as a problem, as has the slowdown in the growth of the economy.

Yet, 56 per cent of the respondents believe the “government is on track to deliver the promises made in the pre-election manifesto”, a slight dip from 59 per cent in last year’s survey. Given the lofty promises the BJP had made, a 56 per cent positive figure on this parameter may not disappoint it too much.

In some other key parameters, the feedback for the Modi government is mixed. Around 32 per cent citizens feel that crime against women and children have reduced in the last four years, while 58 per cent feel it has not (the other 10 per cent responded ‘can’t say’).

Around 60 per cent of those who participated in the survey said that prices of essential commodities and the cost of living have not reduced.

Only around 35 per cent believe that the unemployment rate has reduced in the last four years, while 54 per cent say it hasn’t.

A key flagship initiative of this government – the Swachh Bharat Abhiyan – seems to be gaining popularity. Last year, 35 per cent had said that they find their city cleaner due to Swachh Bharat. This year, the figure has gone up to 43 per cent.

Modi fought the 2014 election, and continues to do so in the states, on an anti-corruption plank, while targeting the Congress for being highly corrupt. However, in terms of public perception, it’s pretty neck-and-neck – 49 per cent of people believe corruption has reduced, while 44 per cent say it hasn’t.

The surgical strikes of 2016 against Pakistan and its handling of the Doklam crisis with China seem to have earned the BJP government brownie points, as has Modi’s foreign policy.

On the question of whether India’s image and influence in the world has improved, 82 per cent said yes while 13 per cent said no. On the government’s handling of the conflict on the borders and relations with Pakistan in the last four years, an overwhelming 74 per cent felt things had improved, while 24 per cent stated otherwise.

The approval ratings for the government’s Pakistan policy was just 34 per cent in 2016, but has gone up dramatically to 64 per cent, a possible reaction to the surgical strikes. When asked if acts of terror have reduced in the last four years, 61 per cent citizens said yes, while 35 per cent said no.
Source: ThePrint / IndiaToday / NewIndianExpress

Tuesday, 6 February 2018

BJP Will Look East for 2019 Lok Sabha Election to Make up for Shortfall in Other States

Finance Minister Arun Jaitley told News18 Network that the BJP can gain in Odisha, West Bengal and other states where it did not win many seats in 2014.

New Delhi: The ruling Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP) would be looking at the East as a fertile catchment area in the next Lok Sabha polls to make up for the short-fall in states where it has already peaked.

"We can gain in Odisha, West Bengal, those states from where we did not win many seats," Finance Minister Arun Jaitley told News18 Network on being asked to comment on BJP's plans for the upcoming elections, especially in states the party registered very high strike rate in the last Lok Sabha polls.

The BJP won more than 250 of the 300 Lok Sabha seats up for grabs in north, west and central India with a strike rake of almost 90% to form the first single-party majority government in India since 1984.

However, there have been concerns in the BJP after the recent Rajasthan by-polls and Gujarat Assembly elections regarding the party’s prospects in states where local anti-incumbency may impinge on the General Elections 2019.

So, West Bengal and Odisha which together send 63 MPs to the Lok Sabha are being seen as virgin territory where the party is making renewed attempt to increase political and electoral footprint to mop up numbers in 2019.

In both the states, the BJP has emerged as the main opposition to the ruling dispensation. Both states are governed by regional parties where the BJP is not facing political constrains due to the presence of a dominant NDA ally as in the case of Andhra Pradesh.

The BJP also sees a scope to improve its tally in the north-eastern states which together elect 25 MPs to the Lok Sabha.

"In the north-east our party is gaining momentum. Modiji has presented a corruption-free government and the kind of governance our party has given, I am sure we will win the next LS elections of the basis of our performance," Jaitley told News18 Network.

The BJP and its allies now have 14 MPs from the region. Party preparations in seven NE states are being led by Assam Minister for Education and Health Himanta Biswa Sarma.
Source: News18.com

ABP News-Lokniti-CSDS Prediction on Modi Government Another Term

A survey has found that in the event of a Lok Sabha election in the country today, BJP-led NDA may get a total of 293-309 seats. This is 30 seats less than what NDA won in 2014 Lok Sabha Elections.

New Delhi: The Narendra Modi-led government continues to ride high on its popularity, even as the recent Gujarat election results jolted some nerves in the party.

If parliamentary polls were held now, Prime Minister Narendra Modi would easily secure another term although anti-incumbency is slowly catching up with him, a survey by ABP News-Lokniti-CSDS has predicted.

The survey has found that in the event of a Lok Sabha election in the country today, BJP-led NDA may get a total of 293-309 seats. This is 30 seats less than what NDA won in 2014 Lok Sabha Elections.

If NDA loses 30 seats out of 336 it won in 2014 elections, it means BJP may finish short of the majority mark of 272. In 2014 BJP won 282 seats, leading the NDA, which in total got 336 seats.

The mood-of-the-nation survey also shows a steady rise in the United Progressive Alliance's (UPA) seat tally and the Congress's vote share.

In May 2017, a similar survey had predicted 331 seats for the BJP-led NDA alliance.

The slight dip in the BJP’s popularity seems to be benefitting the Congress party the most. According to the survey, UPA can get 127 seats and Others 115.

The survey says the Congress now has a 25 per cent vote share - up 4 points from May 2017 and 6 points from the 19 per cent it had tallied in 2014 general election. Its allies are projected to secure 5 per cent of the votes, a slight dip since May 2017’s survey.

Prime Minister Modi’s own personal popularity has also declined in the last eight months, although he continues to be the most popular leader by quite a distance. In May 2017, 44% of the voters had wanted him to return as prime minister in the event of a snap election. Now, the same figure is down by 7 percentage points to 37%.

The survey also shows that Rahul Gandhi’s popularity has gone up. Around 48% of respondents agree that Rahul Gandhi is competent to be the prime minister of the country. This is an 8% increase from the March 2014 pre-poll survey by Lokniti before the Lok Sabha elections that had found 40% of the respondents wanting Rahul Gandhi to be the prime minister.

The survey also concluded complete dissatisfaction with BJP government’s work is now at its highest in the last three years. 17% of respondents were fully dissatisfied with the BJP government; while 23% of the respondents were somewhat dissatisfied from the government, according to the survey. This is an increase from the 2017 survey when the numbers were at 15% and 12% respectively.

This dissatisfaction with Modi government’s performance has increased across all the regions.

The survey was conducted between January 7 and 20 across 175 parliamentary seats in 19 states. Of the 14,336 respondents, 51 per cent expressed satisfaction with the government's performance while 41 per cent said they were dissatisfied. In May 2017, 64 per cent were satisfied with the government's performance.
Source: news18.com

Republic TV National Approval Ratings: Why Narendra Modi's Popularity still Remains Intact?

Republic TV's national approval ratings conducted with the help of C Voter show that Narendra Modi is clearly ahead as most popular Prime Minister at 62.7 per cent.

Rahul Gandhi stands at the second position with 12.6 per cent followed by Sonia Gandhi (4.4 per cent), Manmohan Singh (4.3 per cent), Arvind Kejriwal (1.6 per cent), Nitish Kumar (1.5 per cent). When only two options were given for Prime Ministerial choice, 66 per cent people chose Narendra Modi, 28 per cent chose Rahul Gandhi and the remaining 6 per cent chose none.

Narendra Modi has definitely delivered some positives such as strong leadership to the nation. He is also a hard working Prime Minister, brave enough to take strong decisions and his government remained reasonably honest or say scam free till date. He has also implemented a lot of public benefiting programmes. Not only India, but the world also sees him as a no-nonsense leader who is honestly working for the upliftment of the nation.

However, there have been failures too. Although his government took stringent steps like demonetisation to curb black money, but still not many black money hoarders have been booked yet. Corruption still remains deeply rooted within the bureaucracy. The economy's health is not good at the moment although it is likely to improve. Many experts think that Arun Jaitley should be sacked from the finance ministry because he is not capable of managing the economy.

An eye catching failure is with the agrarian sector. Despite electoral promises, Narendra Modi-led government till date has failed in uplifting the distressed farmers. Even the electoral promise of providing MSP (50 per cent of input cost) to agricultural produce has not been fulfilled. The government has also failed in generating employment opportunities. India's GDP is mostly dependant on the service sector and service sector is never known for employment generation. Another reason of unemployment is lack of skill among the educated youth.

Although the MUDRA scheme did partly succeeded in generating employment but that success remains insignificant as more and more unemployed youth join the existing population each year. 'Make in India' is yet to kick start. Big ticket reforms in social sector are yet to take place. Other social parameters that remain unchanged are health, connectivity, primary education (rural), tribal welfare etc.

If we expect that Narendra Modi will make India developed in just five years then we are in living in a fool's paradise. It requires much more time. The only consolation is that Narendra Modi has intent and is doing hard work to achieve significant growth in all indexes.

In a democracy, the government should always be criticised for its failures despite the intent and hard work. Criticism should always be ruthless one. However, one should understand that criticism shouldn't cross the thin line and turn into cynicism. And I feel that's the root cause of Modi's popularity.

The opposition in India blames Narendra Modi for all and sundry under the Sun. Their criticism has in fact become cynical which the public understands. That's why when there's a genuine criticism of his failure, people consider it as routine cynicism by the opposition.

Let's look the above popularity figures once again. There was a time when Arvind Kejriwal was ranked above Rahul Gandhi in popularity for the Prime Minister's post. Now he is trailing with just 1.6 per cent. It's because he over indulged in opposing for just opposition sake. That's why he lost both popularity and credibility.

The closest rival of Narendra Modi in popularity was Nitish Kumar. Had the Congress named Nitish Kumar as the Prime Ministerial candidate by 2015, I think Narendra Modi would have been facing huge competition by now. But despite Nitish Kumar's popularity he had no organisation outside Bihar and even in Bihar his organisation's strength is at number 3. Thus he found it better to join Narendra Modi for his longer political success as Bihar leader.

Thus, in conclusion, a popular leader can remain popular despite some glaring failures in the absence of a credible alternative. I think that's the reason why Narendra Modi still maintains his popularity.
Source: merinews.com

Thursday, 11 January 2018

PM Modi Ranked among top 3 Leaders by Gallup International Survey

New Delhi, Jan 11 (UNI) Ahead of his visit to Davos to attend the World Economic Forum meeting, an international survey has ranked Prime Minister Narendra Modi among the top three leaders of the world.

An annual survey by Gallup International has put Prime Minister Modi at number 3 among the Global leaders.

Respondents in the survey, which was conducted among people across 50 nations, rated PM Modi among world's top three leaders.

The top ranking in the survey went to French president Emmanuel Macron with a net score of 21 followed by German chancellor Angela Merkel with a net score of 20.

PM Modi is ranked at number three with a score of 8.
Source: UniIndia.com

Wednesday, 10 January 2018

BJP Planning Mahayagya at Red Fort to Win 2019 Lok Sabha Elections

2019 में जीत के लिए लाल किले पर महायज्ञ करेगी BJP, मोदी की मंजूरी का इंतजार !!

बीजेपी 2019 के लोकसभा चुनावों के लिए कोई कसर नहीं छोड़ना चाहती है. इसके लिए पार्टी ने अपनी जड़ों की ओर लौटने का फैसला किया है. बीजेपी अब इन चुनावों के लिए केवल लोगों के बीच ही नहीं जाएगी, बल्कि दैवीय मदद का भी आह्वान करेगी.

2019 के आम चुनावों के लिए प्रचार की शुुरुआत बीजेपी यज्ञ से करना चाहती है. पार्टी के शीर्ष नेताओं ने तय किया है कि इस दौरान हफ्ते भर लंबा महायज्ञ किया जाए. इस यज्ञ का नाम 'राष्ट्र रक्षा यज्ञ' होगा. यानी बीजेपी 2019 के लिए 'राष्ट्रवाद' को ही प्रमुख मुद्दा बनाने जा रही है.


इस यज्ञ के लिए पीएम नरेंद्र मोदी की मंजूरी मिलने का इंतजार है. इसके बाद यज्ञ की अंतिम तैयारियां शुरू हो जाएंगी. सूत्रों का कहना है कि यज्ञ पूरे हफ्ते चल सकता है.

बीजेपी के एक वरिष्ठ नेता का कहना है कि यज्ञ 8 मार्च से शुरू हो सकता है और यह 15 मार्च तक चलेगा. कहा जा रहा है कि पीएम मोदी इस यज्ञ में पहली आहुति देंगे. गौरतलब है कि यही वह समय है जब लोकसभा चुनाव के लिए प्रचार शुरू होगा. बीजेपी चाहती है कि यज्ञ से बने माहौल का चुनावी फायदा उठाया जाए.

पार्टी अध्यक्ष अमित शाह भी यज्ञ में सातों दिन मौजूद रहेंगे. अमित शाह पार्टी की चुनाव रणनीति बनाने का अहम हिस्सा माने जाते हैं और जिन राज्यों में चुनाव होते हैं, वहां कई दिनों तक कैंप भी करते हैं. उनके अलावा, यज्ञ में केंद्रीय मंत्री, बीजेपी शासित राज्यों के मुख्यमंत्री, सांसद और राज्य मंत्री भी मौजूद रहेंगे.

कुछ सूत्रों का कहना है कि बीजेपी इस यज्ञ में राष्ट्रपति रामनाथ कोविंद को भी बुलाने की योजना बना रही है. इस यज्ञ का आयोजन स्थल दिल्ली के लाल किले के प्रांगण को बनाने पर विचार हो रहा है. बताया जा रहा है कि इस स्थल का चुनाव काफी विमर्श के बाद किया गया है.

इस साल नरेंद्र मोदी लाल किले से पांचवीं बार अपना भाषण देंगे. लाल किले के प्रांगण में होने वाले इस यज्ञ में 108 हवन कुंड बनाए जाएंगे. इन यज्ञों को पार्टी के ही कार्यकर्ता डिजाइनर तैयार करेंगे, लेकिन इसमें हॉलीवुड या बॉलीवुड के भी किसी नामी डिजाइनर की मदद भी ली जा सकती है.

सूत्र बताते हैं कि यज्ञ में देवी 'बगलामुखी' का आह्वान किया जाएगा. माना जाता है कि यह देवी अपने भक्तों को वाक्युद्ध में विजयी होने का आशीर्वाद देती है.

इस यज्ञ में रोज 50 हजार लोग शामिल होंगे. रोज शाम को कई राज्यों के सांस्कृतिक कार्यक्रम होंगे. यहां कम से कम 15-20 हजार लोगों के बैठने का इंतजाम होगा.
Source: aajtak.intoday.in

No Alliance Between SP-Congress for 2019 Lok Sabha Elections, says Akhilesh

Lucknow: Samajwadi Party president Akhilesh Yadav has finally ruled out his party’s alliance with the Congress in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, citing poor outcome of the two parties’ tie-up during last year’s Assembly elections.

Addressing a party meeting here on Tuesday, Akhilesh Yadav said that there was no possibility of an alliance in the Lok Sabha elections and his priority was to strengthen the Samajwadi Party.

“Had the alliance been in force, the Congress would have contested the municipal polls with us,” he said, pointing to the poor performance of the alliance in the Assembly elections in which the BJP wrested power from the SP.

“My friendship with Rahul Gandhi remains, but it is now time to strengthen the SP. We are on good terms with Rahul Gandhi but we definitely do not have any alliance for the polls, as of now,” he told reporters.

The SP had won 21 Lok Sabha seats in 2009 but after Akhilesh Yadav became Uttar Pradesh chief minister the party’s tally came down to five seats in the 2014 parliamentary polls.

The SP-Congress alliance in the 2017 state elections had come a cropper with the SP left with 47 seats while the Congress won just seven seats in the 403-member Assembly.

The Congress, on the other hand, has been squarely blaming the alliance with SP for its worst ever performance in state elections when it almost got decimated.

Though none of the party spokespersons was ready to comment officially on the SP’s decision not dump the grand old party ahead of the 2019 polls, senior leaders said that it was a “happy development”.

“We are on a comeback trail and today’s development is a burden off our back. We can now move ahead with confidence under Rahul Gandhi’s leadership,” said a veteran leader.

Earlier, Akhilesh Yadav hinted at an early start by the SP in picking candidates for the Lok Sabha polls.
Source: TheAsianAge